Tampa Bay fishing conditions and tides

Florida · Gulf coast · 2.3 ft mean tide range · 30 ppt

Grass flats, bridge structure and one of the strongest snook and redfish fisheries in the Gulf

Sample dataUpdated October 19, 2026 — 2:00 AM
8.6out of 10

Current conditions

Excellent

Fishing score 86/100

How this score is calculated

Water temperature17.0 / 18

76°F against a 70–86°F band for snook.

Tide movement14.0 / 20

Outgoing (ebb) at 0.3 ft, moving 0.2 ft/hr. Moderate movement; fish the tightest current seams you can find.

Wind11.0 / 11

5 mph out of the W. Workable wind with useful chop.

Swell & surf10.0 / 10

1.3 ft at 13 seconds. Good working surf for beaches and inlets.

Water clarity9.0 / 9

Good working clarity with some colour for cover.

Barometric pressure5.4 / 9

29.66 inHg and rising.

Moon & solunar4.1 / 8

56% illumination — neap tides with a smaller exchange.

Seasonal pattern15.0 / 15

Fall pattern is fully established for this zone.

What should I do today?

The highest-percentage pattern for this tide and this wind.

TargetSnook
Depth1–15 ft
WhereHold on mangrove points and under dock lights at night; move to the passes to spawn in summer.
TechniqueTwitchbait, white jig or free-lined pilchard
Bait / lureLive pilchards, pinfish
Best tideOutgoing along mangrove edges, night tides under lights
Best window1:54 AM – 3:54 AM
WhyOutgoing (ebb) at 0.3 ft moving 0.2 ft/hr, water at 76°F, 5 mph W wind and 1.3 ft of swell. Outgoing along mangrove edges, night tides under lights is when this zone fishes best, and today's next tide change lines up with that window.

Backup pattern

Redfish — weedless soft plastic, cut bait on the bottom in 1–8 ft. Push the grass flats on the flood and school on the potholes at Weedon Island and the Kitchen.

Right now

Current conditions

Tide

Outgoing (ebb)

0.3 ft, -0.2 ft/hr

Next high

9:06 AM

2.1 ft

Next low

2:54 AM

0.3 ft

Mean range

2.3 ft

Typical high-to-low swing

Water temp

76°F

+0.3°F / 3 days

Water clarity

Lightly stained

Salinity about 30 ppt

Swell

1.3 ft

13 second period

Wind

5 mph

Out of the W

Pressure

29.66"

Rising pressure — clearing behind a front

Air temp

69°F

45% cloud cover

Moon

56%

First Quarter · solunar 12/100

Daylight

5:38 AM

Sunset 4:51 PM

Timing

Today's tides and fishing windows

L 0.3 ft2:54 AMH 2.1 ft9:06 AML 0.2 ft3:19 PMH 2 ft9:32 PM
12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM11 PM
  • Low tide (0.3 ft) — tide change window1:54 AM – 3:54 AM
  • Solunar major 25:12 AM – 7:12 AM
  • Morning prime window5:13 AM – 7:58 AM
  • Sunrise5:38 AM
  • High tide (2.1 ft) — tide change window8:06 AM – 10:06 AM
  • Low tide (0.2 ft) — tide change window2:19 PM – 4:19 PM
  • Evening window2:51 PM – 5:26 PM
  • Sunset4:51 PM
  • Solunar major 15:12 PM – 7:12 PM
  • High tide (2 ft) — tide change window8:32 PM – 10:32 PM

Targets

Target species in this zone

SpeciesActivityDepthBest tideTechniqueBaitActive tempSeason
Snook★★★★★1–15 ftOutgoing along mangrove edges, night tides under lightsTwitchbait, white jig or free-lined pilchardLive pilchards, pinfish70–86°FMarch through November
Redfish★★★★★1–8 ftHigh incoming across grass flatsWeedless soft plastic, cut bait on the bottomCut ladyfish, live shrimp62–88°FYear-round, best September through November
Speckled Trout★★★★☆3–9 ftMoving water over grassPopping cork with a shrimp imitationLive shrimp60–82°FOctober through April
Tarpon★★★★★6–30 ftCalm morning on a moving tideLive crab on the tide, threadfin on the beachPass crabs, threadfin78–88°FMay through July
  • Snook: Hold on mangrove points and under dock lights at night; move to the passes to spawn in summer.
  • Redfish: Push the grass flats on the flood and school on the potholes at Weedon Island and the Kitchen.
  • Speckled Trout: Drift the deeper grass in 4–7 ft with sand potholes — the potholes hold the biggest fish.
  • Tarpon: Migrate along the beaches and through the ship channel from May through July in big daisy chains.

Structure

Habitat and structure that holds fish

  • Turtle grass flat
  • Mangrove shoreline
  • Oyster bar
  • Bridge structure
  • Residential canal
  • Skyway Bridge piers
  • Weedon Island flats
  • Fort De Soto passes
  • Gandy Bridge pilings
  • Tarpon Key oyster bars

Surf and beach notes

Gulf beaches at Fort De Soto and Anna Maria fish well with less than 2 ft of surf and a light east wind.

Bait in the zone

Pilchards (whitebait) are the primary live bait spring through fall; shrimp take over in winter.

Patterns

Season-by-season patterns

Spring

70–80°F

Snook leave the winter canals and stage on the flats as water passes 72°F; tarpon arrive in May.

Summer

84–90°F

Early morning and night tides only on the flats; snook spawn in the passes and tarpon dominate the beaches.

Fall

74–84°F

Bait schools peak and redfish push into big schools — the most consistent flats fishing of the year.

Winter

60–68°F

Snook retreat to canals and power plant outflows; trout and reds concentrate on dark mud bottom that warms in the afternoon.

Outlook

7-day fishing forecast

DayScoreWaterWindSwellFirst high tideBest speciesMorning window
Today79Very Good76°F5 mph W1.3 ft9:06 AM (2.1 ft)Snook5:13 AM – 7:58 AM
Tue89Excellent77°F9 mph N0.6 ft9:57 AM (2.2 ft)Snook5:14 AM – 7:59 AM
Wed85Excellent75°F21 mph NW2.5 ft10:47 AM (2.3 ft)Snook5:14 AM – 7:59 AM
Thu97Excellent78°F4 mph SW0.8 ft11:38 AM (2.4 ft)Snook5:15 AM – 8:00 AM
Fri92Excellent78°F5 mph W1.3 ft12:03 AM (2.5 ft)Snook5:16 AM – 8:01 AM
Sat90Excellent75°F15 mph NE2.6 ft12:53 AM (2.5 ft)Snook5:16 AM – 8:01 AM
Sun89Excellent76°F15 mph S1.8 ft1:44 AM (2.6 ft)Snook5:17 AM – 8:02 AM

The water

About Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay is Florida's largest open-water estuary: 400 square miles of turtle grass flats, oyster bars, mangrove shorelines and two enormous bridge systems. Tides here are mixed and often weak, so a day with a 2 ft swing moves far more fish than a day with a 0.8 ft swing — the tide table matters more than the weather forecast.

Local knowledge

Expert notes

  • Chum a grass flat with live pilchards before you cast. Five minutes of free bait pulls snook and reds out of the mangroves and into open water where you can actually land them.
  • Look for sand potholes in the grass at 4–6 ft. Big trout sit in the white sand and ambush anything that crosses the edge.
  • A cold front that drops the bay below 60°F sends snook to canals and warm-water discharges within 24 hours — do not waste a post-front morning on open flats.

Logistics

Access, ramps and launches

boat ramp

Fort De Soto ramp

Access to the passes, beaches and the south bay flats.

kayak launch

Weedon Island Preserve kayak launch

Marked paddling trails through mangrove creeks and flats.

pier

Skyway Fishing Pier State Park

Drive out onto the old bridge — deep water and structure from shore.

shore

Gandy Bridge shore access

Wade the flats on either side; best on an incoming tide at dawn.

Rules

Regulations

  • Florida saltwater fishing license required for shore and boat anglers.
  • Snook require a separate snook permit and have closed seasons in winter and summer.
  • Redfish and trout bag limits vary by management zone — Tampa Bay has its own rules.

Always verify current regulations with the relevant state wildlife agency before fishing. Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission

Transparency

Data sources

Where this data comes from

Conditions are modelled from each water's documented climate, structure and seasonal patterns. Modules marked “Live data integration pending” are not yet pulling from their API, so those values are clearly labelled as sample data rather than presented as real-time readings.

  • Weather API

    Pending

    NOAA / National Weather Service — Air temperature, wind, cloud cover, rainfall and barometric pressure with a 7-day forecast.

  • Water Level & Flow API

    Pending

    USGS Water Services — Reservoir stage, discharge and 7-day level trend from the nearest gauge.

  • Water Temperature

    Pending

    USGS / NOAA buoys — Surface water temperature and its multi-day trend.

  • Tide & Current API

    Pending

    NOAA CO-OPS — Tide predictions, current direction and speed for coastal zones.

  • Moon & Solunar

    Live

    Computed on-site — Moon phase, illumination and solunar major/minor periods are calculated from date and coordinates.

  • Water Clarity

    Pending

    Satellite imagery + angler reports — Visibility estimates by lake arm, refined by submitted fishing reports.

  • Fishing Regulations

    Pending

    State wildlife agencies — License, size and creel rules, linked to the official agency page for verification.

  • Map Data

    Pending

    Bathymetry + access point database — Depth zones, structure locations and boat ramps for the lake infographic.

Keep reading

Related guides and nearby water